Hurricane Lala
Central Pacific basin · advisory 026 · last updated Wed, Aug 19, 00:00 UTC
Never use this page to make a safety decision. Everything here is relayed from the National Hurricane Center and can be out of date. For warnings, evacuation orders and anything that affects your safety, go to hurricanes.gov and follow your local emergency management.
Right now
- Sustained winds
- 95 kt
- Pressure
- 966 mb
- Position
- 20.5N 168.5W
- Moving
- W 9 kt
Forecast track
The National Hurricane Center’s projected position and intensity at each lead time, exactly as issued in advisory 026. They expect Lala to peak near 100 kt.
| Valid (UTC) | Lead | Position | Winds | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Aug 18, 21:00 | now | 20.4N 168.1W | 90 kt | Category 2 |
| Wed, Aug 19, 06:00 | +9h | 20.8N 169.3W | 100 kt | Category 3 |
| Wed, Aug 19, 18:00 | +21h | 21.9N 170.7W | 100 kt | Category 3 |
| Thu, Aug 20, 06:00 | +33h | 23.2N 171.7W | 95 kt | Category 2 |
| Thu, Aug 20, 18:00 | +45h | 24.5N 171.9W | 90 kt | Category 2 |
| Fri, Aug 21, 06:00 | +57h | 26.1N 171.4W | 85 kt | Category 2 |
| Fri, Aug 21, 18:00 | +69h | 28.0N 170.9W | 85 kt | Category 2 |
Source: National Hurricane Center forecast/advisory. Lead times are measured from the advisory’s observed position, so they are not round numbers.
Reading this forecast honestly
These are the centre positions the NHC expects. The average track error at 48 hours is on the order of 60–70 nautical miles, and intensity is forecast less well than track — rapid intensification in particular remains hard to call. A storm arriving 100 miles from the projected point is an ordinary outcome, not a failure.
The centre line also is not the hazard. Damaging wind, rain and surge extend well away from it, frequently on one side more than the other. Never plan around the line.
We archive every advisory as it is issued, so once the season ends these forecasts can be checked against where Lala actually went.